Technical Analysis and Price forecast of NSE-listed stocks in Pharmaceutical Sector

International Journal of Economics and Management Studies
© 2021 by SSRG - IJEMS Journal
Volume 8 Issue 4
Year of Publication : 2021
Authors : Sunanda Deshpande, Kapil Deshpande
pdf
How to Cite?

Sunanda Deshpande, Kapil Deshpande, "Technical Analysis and Price forecast of NSE-listed stocks in Pharmaceutical Sector," SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies, vol. 8,  no. 4, pp. 76-81, 2021. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/23939125/IJEMS-V8I4P110

Abstract:

The stock market is the most attractive place today to make money for those who understand finance. The most critical factor when making Investments in stocks are intended to forecast future market patterns, volume fluctuations and the uncertainty or risk involved. Therefore, technical analysis plays a hand. The very important task of predicting future price ups and downs and thus enabling investors to make the most of their investments.
For performing technical analysis, various techniques such as beta calculations, relative strength index, exponential moving averages and predicting future market patterns using mean and standard deviation can be used. This paper focuses on the technical review of major pharmaceutical companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). The shares' price movements are subject to a cyclical trend that repeats itself over various intervals. This analysis therefore uses the past data to measure the indices concerned and to forecast future price trends using Brownian motion price forecasting model and Monte Carlo simulation.

Keywords:

Beta calculations, Relative Strength Index, Exponential moving averages and Moving Average Convergence and Divergence, Price forecasting, Brownian motion model, Monte Carlo Simulation

References:

[1] Chrisman, J. J., Hofer, C. W., & Boulton, W. R. (1986). Strategic decision making: A technical analysis -- an integrative approach to sensitivity, elasticity, and variability analyses for improved strategic decision making: A technical analysis. Journal of Management Case Studies, 2(3), 215
[2] Lorig, M., Zhou, Z., & Zou, B. (2019). A mathematical analysis of technical analysis. Applied Mathematical Finance, 26(1), 38-68.
[3] Zoicas-Ienciu, A. (2016). HOW TECHNICAL IS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS? Review of Economic Studies and Research Virgil Madgearu, 9(2), 155-171.
[4] Ziegel, E. R. (1997). Stock market analysis using the SAS system: Technical analysis. Technometrics, 39(4), 434.
[5] Halilbegovic, S. (2016). MACD - ANALYSIS OF WEAKNESSES OF THE MOST POWERFUL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TOOL. Independent Journal of Management & Production, 7(2), 367-379.
[6] Mishra, S. (2016). Technical analysis and risk premium in indian equity market: A multiple regression analysis. IUP Journal of Applied Economics, 15(1), 51-68.
[7] Brown, D. P., & Jennings, R. H. (1989). On technical analysis. The Review of Financial Studies (1986-1998), 2(4), 527.
[8] Petropoulos, C., Nikolopoulos, K., Patelis, A., Assimakopoulos, V., & Askounis, D. (2006). Tourism technical analysis system. Tourism Economics, 12(4), 543.
[9] Sehgal, S., & Gupta, M. (2007). Tests of technical analysis in india. Vision, 11(3), 11-23.
[10] Treynor, J. L., Ferguson, R., & Sorensen, E. H. (1985). In defense of technical Analysis/Discussion. The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 757.
[11] Kavajecz, K. A. (2004). Technical analysis and liquidity provision. The Review of Financial Studies, 17(4), 1043-1071
[12] Wang, Z., Chiao, C., & Chang, Y. (2012). Technical analyses and order submission behaviors: Evidence from an emerging market. International Review of Economics & Finance, 24, 109.
[13] Neely, C. J., & Weller, P. A. (2001). Technical analysis and central bank intervention. Journal of International Money and Finance, 20(7), 949-970.
[14] Hoffmann, A. O. I., & Shefrin, H. (2014). Technical analysis and individual investors. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 107, 487.
[15] Wilson, J. S. (2009). Technical barriers to trade. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
[16] Kapil Deshpande, Priya Mohabey,(2020). Analysis of Stocks in Pharmaceutical Sector Listed on NSE. SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies 7(5), 171-174.