A Critical Insight into the Correlation Between Macroeconomic Indicators and Portfolio Choices on the ASX 200, Examined Through the Lens of the Colin St Value Fund

International Journal of Economics and Management Studies
© 2025 by SSRG - IJEMS Journal
Volume 12 Issue 10
Year of Publication : 2025
Authors : Arsh Ahuja
pdf
How to Cite?

Arsh Ahuja, "A Critical Insight into the Correlation Between Macroeconomic Indicators and Portfolio Choices on the ASX 200, Examined Through the Lens of the Colin St Value Fund," SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies, vol. 12,  no. 10, pp. 23-31, 2025. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/23939125/IJEMS-V12I10P104

Abstract:

The Importance of Macroeconomic indicators and Commodities in Various Investment Funds is an important factor in ensuring long-term profitability and sustainable growth, even during adverse geopolitical circumstances. This Paper analyses the impact of economic indicators that have affected the performance of the ASX 200, along with other factors that have undergone changes by Australian Investment funds that targeted the ASX 200. What are the external factors that have influenced their decisions? Importance of the Colin St fund that has weathered all storms and reported above-average performances during the time period considered.

Keywords:

ASX 200, Credit Spread, Equity Funds, Macroeconomic indicators, Uncertainty Beta.

References:

[1] Don U.A. Galagedera, and Param Silvapulle, “Australian Mutual Fund Performance Appraisal Using Data Envelopment Analysis,” Managerial Finance, vol. 28, no. 9, pp. 60-73, 2002.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[2] Turan G. Bali, Stephen J. Brown, and Mustafa O. Caglayan, “Macroeconomic Risk and Hedge Fund Returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 114, no. 1, pp. 1-19, 2014.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[3] Luo Wang, Bin Li, and Benjamin Liu, “Can Macroeconomic Variables Explain Managed Fund Returns? The Australian Case,” Economic Papers, vol. 36, no. 2, pp. 171-184, 2017.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[4] Yiming Ma, Kairong Xiao, and Yao Zeng, “Mutual Fund Liquidity Transformation and Reverse Flight to Liquidity,” The Review of Financial Studies, vol. 35, no. 10, pp. 4674-4711, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[5] N.V. Artamonov, and A.N. Kurbatskii, “Excess Return of US Mutual Funds,” MGIMO Review of International Relations, vol. 16, no. 3, pp. 244-262, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[6] Georgia Warren-Myers, “Sustainability Evolution in the Australian Property Market: Examining Evolution in the Australian Property Market,” Journal of Property Investment & Finance, vol. 34, no. 6, pp. 578-601, 2016.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[7] V. Piperoglou, Personal Interview (Chief Investment Officer, Collins St Asset Management), 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wMcqcOZObsg
[8] Collins St Asset Management, You can Get Rich Slowly or You can get Poor Quick, Outcomes and Time Frames Rarely Cross Over, 2020.
[Publisher Link]
[9] Collins St Asset Management, In Search of the Unicorn, Quarterly Report, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.csvf.com.au/wp content/uploads/2024/08/CSAM-June-2024-Quarterly-Report.pdf
[10] Wholesale Investor, News and Announcements. [Online]. Available: https://www.wholesaleinvestor.com/1-long-only-australian equities-fund-in-2020-collins-st-value-fund-up-44in-12-months/
[11] Michael Goldberg, Value Beyond Consensus in Gold, Energy & Consumer Staples, Livewire Markets, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/unlocking-value-beyond-consensus-in-gold-energy-consumer-staples-michael-goldberg
[12] ASX Investor Update, Best and Worst Performing Sectors, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.asx.com.au/blog/investor update/2024/best-and-worst-performing-sectors
[13] Australia is a Major Global Producer of Key Commodities (%). [Online]. Available: https://www.capitaliq.spglobal.com/Articles/423335940.png
[14] Jon Faust et al., “Credit Spreads as Predictors of Real-Time Economic Activity: A Bayesian Model-Averaging Approach,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 95, no. 5, pp. 1501-1519, 2013.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[15] LPL Research, Credit Spreads: Recession Indicator or Market Correction?, Advisor Analyst.com, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://advisoranalyst.com/2025/03/19/credit-spreads-recession-indicator-or-market-correction.html/
[16] Raheel Siddiqui, and Amr Hanafy, The Importance of Monitoring Credit Spreads in Positioning Equity Portfolios, Neuberger Bernman, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.nb.com/en/global/insights/insight-the-importance-of-monitoring-credit-spreads-in-positioning equity-portfolios
[17] International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO
[18] Collins St Asset Management (Homepage & Performance). [Online]. Available: https://www.csvf.com.au/
[19] Morningstar, Collins St Value Fund. [Online]. Available: https://www.morningstar.com.au/investments/security/fund/41543
[20] Farshid Abdi, Yong Chen, and Botao Wu, “Monetary Policy and Hedge Funds' Reaching for Beta,” SSRN, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]