Notes on the Contemporary Issues in the Indian Economy

International Journal of Economics and Management Studies
© 2019 by SSRG - IJEMS Journal
Volume 6 Issue 8
Year of Publication : 2019
Authors : Shaleen Nath Tripathi, Anubhav Nath Tripathi
pdf
How to Cite?

Shaleen Nath Tripathi, Anubhav Nath Tripathi, "Notes on the Contemporary Issues in the Indian Economy," SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies, vol. 6,  no. 8, pp. 83-92, 2019. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/23939125/IJEMS-V6I8P110

Abstract:

Background/Objective: The article discusses the prime causes for the growth and improvement in the standard of living, and the problems of inflation and unemployment, that also affect the quality of growth and provide ideas to solve them and make INDIA a preferred investment destination.
Methods: The study has used the theories or the theoretical method to inquire about the major challenges facing the Indian economy and put solutions to increase investment and growth, nonetheless a regression analysis to ascertain the relationship between the economic growth and variables like real wages, real interest rate and real exchange rate and others could not become possible due to lack of reliable data, which had made the paper more worthwhile.
Findings: INDIA is a hot-spot for global investor and even better among emerging markets due to its equanimity underscored by its reliance on domestic demand for growth, low global commodity price regime, because it is mainly an importer, its rate-cut-cycle. The idea to explore manufacturing and exports possibility with low wages compared to the peers, its high rate of population growth, a reservoir of labor and demand, low fiscal and current-account deficit and its pace of expansion and growth, both actual and potential, present best investment and business returns. However, regulations still constrain the ease of doing business. Nevertheless, INDIA has improved a lot on competitiveness in a recent rating-report and the government is conscious about problems of doing business, both foreign and domestic. The central-banks must try to control demand, when there is no scope of increasing supply of goods and services. Nevertheless, lower interest-rate might be good for the supply-side (investment) and the demand (consumption) side, too.
Application: If, lower interest-rate increases supply or productivity to lower inflation instead of just demand, it should be welcomed. Businesses employ people which is good for demand in the market through multiplier, which creates income and tax to improve human-lives. Notwithstanding, the burden of a large number of poor-people, also due to high population growth-rate and unskilled and unproductive labor-force could not be underestimated.

Keywords:

Agriculture, demand, exports, exchange rate, fiscal policy, monetary policy, prices, productivity, supply, skill-development, imports, interest rate, wages.

References:

[1] As various parts of India witness one of the worst droughts, an above par monsoon is an imperative. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/as-various-parts-of-india-witness-one-of-the-worst-droughts-an-above-par-monsoon-is-an-imperative/articleshow/51758639.cms?from=mdr
[2] Narendra Modi government gearing up to announce Food Security Act with Rs 130,000 crore outlay. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/narendra-modi-government-gearing-up-to-announce-food-security-act-with-rs-130000-crore-outlay/articleshow/50827770.cms
[3] Repo rate cut — lost in transmission. https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/repo-rate-cut-lost-in-transmission/article22513690.ece
[4] Economic Survey 2014: Growth of non-performing assets a cause for concern. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/banking/finance/banking/economic-survey-2014-growth-of-non-performing-assets-a-cause-for-concern/articleshow/38078081.cms?from=mdr.
[5] Linking interest rates to MCLR may hurt borrowers more than benefit them. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/linking-interest-rates-to-mclr-may-hurt-borrowers-more-than-benefit-them/articleshow/63601517.cms?
[6] Insights into issues : Non performing assets. https://www.insightsonindia.com/2016/08/29/insights-issues-non-performing-assets/
[7] Kydland, Finn E.; Prescott, Edward C. (1982). "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations". Econometrica. 50 (6): 1345–1370. doi:10.2307/1913386. JSTOR 1913386.
[8] India needs labour-intensive industrialisation: Pranab Bardhan. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/india-needs-labour-intensive-industrialisation-pranab-bardhan/articleshow/38814576.cms?from=mdr
[9] Fisher, Irving (1922). "Dollar Stabilization" . In Chisholm, Hugh. Encyclopædia Britannica (12th ed.). London & New York
[10] Inflation Expectations Are Important to Central Bankers, Too. https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/april-2016/inflation-expectations-are-important-to-central-bankers-too.
[11] Alesina, Alberto; Campante, Filipe R.; Tabellini, Guido (2008). "Why is Fiscal Policy Often Procyclical?". Journal of the European Economic Association. 6 (5): 1006–1036. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.485.1225. doi:10.1162/JEEA.2008.6.5.1006.
[12] Yuichiro Ito & Sohei Kaihatsu, 2016. "Effects of Inflation and Wage Expectations on Consumer Spending: Evidence from Micro Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-7, Bank of Japan.
[13] Taylor Rule shows Raghuram Rajan’s policy rate regime was prudent, not hawkish. https://www.livemint.com/Opinion/GD0wPV6gzIxKXw2fM0WnSN/Taylor-Rule-shows-Raghuram-Rajans-policy-rate-regime-was-pr.html
[14] NPA clean-up should have started much earlier: Raghuram Rajan. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/npa-clean-up-should-have-started-much-earlier-raghuram-rajan/articleshow/53399706.cms
[15] Econ 101: The Basics of Supply and Demand. https://www.env-econ.net/supply_demand.html
[16] The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. https://www.marxists.org/reference/subject/economics/keynes/general-theory/ch24.html
[17] Economics 301; Intermediate Macroeconomics; Labor Supply. https://faculty.washington.edu/ezivot/econ301/labor_supply.htm
[18] Friedman, B.M. (2001). "Monetary Policy". International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences. pp. 9976–9984. doi:10.1016/B0-08-043076-7/02257-9. ISBN 9780080430768.
[19] India's increasing thrust on rural markets. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/indias-increasing-thrust-on-rural-markets/articleshow/5073950.cms
[20] Knox, A. D. (1970). "The Acceleration Principle and the Theory of Investment: A Survey". In Shapiro, Edward. Macroeconomics: Selected Readings. New York: Harcourt, Brace & World. pp. 49–74. ISBN 0-15-551207-2.
[21] FDI in India: Farmer bodies throw their weight behind retail FDI. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/fdi-in-india-farmer-bodies-throw-their-weight-behind-retail-fdi/articleshow/10939054.cms?from=mdr
[22] Government unveils draft norms to operate Price Stabilisation Fund. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/government-unveils-draft-norms-to-operate-price-stabilisation-fund/articleshow/416. 6042119.cms
[23] Government allows 100% FDI in trading of food products. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/cons-products/food/government-allows-100-fdi-in-trading-of-food-products/articleshow/52832819.cms
[24] Rifkin, H. (18 July 2008). "Invest in people skills to boost bottom line". Portland Business Journal. Retrieved 2009-10-14.
[25] Ricardo, David (1821). "Chapter 5, On Wages". On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation.
[26] Plan afoot to allow FDI in education. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/plan-afoot-to-allow-fdi-in-education/articleshow/1964366.cms
[27] Why Make in India may be the answer to India's unemployment puzzle, The Economic Times, 15 February 2016
[28] Bahal , Raissi and Tulin (2015). ―Crowding-Out or Crowding-In? Public and Private Investment in India.‖ IMF WORKING PAPERS. ISBN/ISSN:9781513541655/1018-5941.
[29] The Indisputable Role of Credit Ratings Agencies in the 2008 Collapse, and Why Nothing Has Changed. https://truthout.org/articles/the-indisputable-role-of-credit-ratings-agencies-in-the-2008-collapse-and-why-nothing-has-changed.